Long view - Heading towards a Japan-style scenario (Perspectives 13.3.2019)

Our long-term outlook shows no recession for 5 years. However, growth is slowing and interest rates remain low. From 2021, the outlook for riskier assets brightens again.


Europe under pressure - Perspectives March 2019 (27.2.2019)

After a weak start to the year, we expect an economic recovery, supported by Fed & ECB. We thus see residual upside potential for risky assets. But the trend reversal is drawing closer. Even in Europe.


Real Estate

“Grand Paris“: Project of Superlatives - Focus Real Estate (8.3.2019)

Momentum in the French real-estate market has been gathering pace, especially in the “heartland”. The real-estate market is benefiting from Europe’s largest infrastructure project, ”Grand Paris“.



Looking beyond towards the bigger picture

Megatrends - a new field of action for BayernLB Research

Looking into the future and identifying megatrends are activities which are currently very much in fashion. Megatrends are developments whose momentum appears to be unstoppable and scarcely able to be influenced, at least in the short term, but which have repercussions on companies, sectors, whole countries, and therefore on the capital markets as well. You, dear clients, like us, are affected to a significant extent by these trends on various levels. It is for this reason that we are planning to devote more attention to these topics in future, our rationale being that understanding megatrends and the opportunities and risks bound up with them can be of help when analysing business options especially in the current, highly volatile, market environment and in the face of a short-term and medium-term economic outlook that is fraught with a great deal of uncertainty. This publication seeks to introduce you to what is a new field of analysis for BayernLB Research. We will be committing more resources to analysing megatrends and tracing their implications for economic and financial-market developments. The insights gained on this score will supplement the assessments and forecasts which we already generate and which you can, of course, continue to rely upon. We hope that this new additional tool will provide you with valuable information and would be very pleased to receive honest feedback from you about this new service.